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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
eng. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction · 2015
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Quotes

Quotes

  • "Prediction is not the art of clairvoyance, but a craft that demands discipline, humility, and constant self-improvement."
  • "The best forecasters are not just smart—they think flexibly, admit mistakes, and learn from them."
  • "Humility is an essential part of accurate forecasting: it allows you to doubt yourself and adjust your views."
  • "The world is too complex to be certain of anything, but clear enough to make well-founded assumptions."
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Date of publication: 6 March 2026
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Authors: 
Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
Original title: eng. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction · 2015
Content: 
This material is prepared for educational purposes and is not a reproduction of the original text. We do not use protected elements of the work (text, structure, unique scenes).